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US Ends Sanctions Waiver for Russian Oil, Fueling Global Price Hike Fears

· · 3 min read

The US has allowed a temporary sanctions waiver for Russian crude oil sales to expire, ending a limited purchasing arrangement. This move, amidst rising Middle East tensions, is expected to tighten global crude markets and potentially increase fuel prices, impacting nations like India.

Washington, D.C. – The United States has allowed a temporary sanctions waiver, which permitted certain purchases of Russian crude oil, to expire. This decision, reported on Sunday, May 17, 2026, marks the end of an arrangement that had provided limited relief for countries reliant on Russian oil imports amid volatile global energy markets.

The waiver's expiration comes at a critical time, as ongoing conflict in the Middle East and disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz continue to exert upward pressure on global crude prices. The temporary measure, initially issued in March and extended in April, had specifically covered Russian crude already loaded onto tankers.

Global Market Impact and India's Concerns

The lapse of this waiver removes a narrow window of sanctions relief that several nations, notably India and Indonesia, had sought to maintain. India, a major oil importer, had reportedly lobbied the US for an extension, citing the critical need for stable energy supplies to mitigate wider economic consequences for its 1.4 billion citizens. Indian officials highlighted that rising energy costs were already contributing to household pressures, including shortages of cooking gas.

During the waiver period, India significantly ramped up its imports of Russian oil. Data from Kpler indicates that India's Russian oil imports surged to a record 2.3 million barrels per day in May, as refiners accelerated purchases under the temporary authorization.

Middle East Tensions Drive Price Volatility

Global crude markets have remained highly volatile due to the more than two-month-long conflict in the Persian Gulf and fears of supply disruptions linked to the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude, the international benchmark, has climbed above $105 per barrel, a substantial increase from approximately $72-$73 per barrel before the Iran conflict began in late February. This more than 40% rise has intensified concerns over fuel inflation, higher import bills, and significant economic strain on oil-importing countries.

Criticism and Official Stance

The temporary sanctions waivers had drawn criticism from some European allies, who argued that easing restrictions on Russian crude undermined collective efforts to reduce Moscow's oil revenues during the Ukraine war. Critics contended that the relief, even if limited to waterborne shipments, effectively allowed Russia to benefit from surging crude prices.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent had initially suggested in April that the waiver would not be renewed. However, the administration later reversed course, issuing another short-term authorization after more than ten of the most energy-vulnerable and poorest countries requested an extension. Bessent explained to a Senate panel at the time that the temporary relief was deemed necessary to maintain stability in global energy markets amidst the Middle East conflict.

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