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Top IT Stocks: Coforge, KPIT, Cyient Offer Up to 44% Upside Amid AI Recovery

· · 4 min read

Brokerage SMIFS has turned bullish on midcap IT stocks, recommending Coforge, KPIT Technologies, and Cyient. These firms show strong growth potential, with some offering up to 44% upside, driven by AI spending and robust order books.

Indian technology stocks are showing early signs of recovery following a volatile 12-18 months marked by global macroeconomic uncertainty and delayed technology spending. Despite these headwinds, several midcap IT firms, including Coforge, KPIT Technologies, and Cyient, remain below their historical peaks, even as deal pipelines improve, AI adoption grows, and order books strengthen.

Brokerage firm SMIFS has identified these three companies as its top picks within the Indian IT sector, citing their differentiated positioning, strong revenue visibility, and attractive risk-reward profiles. According to SMIFS, these firms are better equipped than traditional IT services peers to capitalize on emerging themes such as software-defined vehicles, AI-led transformation, digital engineering, and lifecycle engineering services.

Why Mid-Tier IT is Gaining Traction

SMIFS notes that while the broader Indian IT sector has faced challenges like slower client decision-making, weak banking and technology spending, and geopolitical uncertainties, the worst of the slowdown may be over. The brokerage points to healthy deal pipelines, rising global AI spending, and ongoing enterprise investments in modernization, cloud migration, cybersecurity, and engineering-led transformation programs.

Mid-tier IT firms, in particular, have demonstrated an ability to outperform larger competitors in securing significant contracts and capturing new technology opportunities. Investors are increasingly selective, favoring companies with robust order books, niche capabilities, and exposure to structural growth themes over broad-based outsourcing models.

KPIT Technologies: A Play on Automotive Software

KPIT Technologies Ltd. is highlighted by SMIFS as a pure-play beneficiary of the global automotive software transformation. The company is transitioning from a traditional services model to a higher-value products and solutions business. This strategic shift is expected to significantly increase the share of products and solutions in its revenue, potentially reaching 60% within three years from approximately 15% currently. This move is anticipated to enhance scalability and margins.

KPIT has developed extensive capabilities across software-defined vehicles, electrification, autonomous driving, and connected mobility, offering end-to-end chip-to-cloud expertise. The company reported strong deal momentum, with total contract value reaching $349 million in the March quarter of FY26, and an improved book-to-bill ratio of 1.9 times. SMIFS has issued a 'buy' rating on KPIT Technologies, setting a target price of Rs 975, which implies an upside of approximately 32% from its reference price as of June 28, 2026.

Coforge: Driven by Large Deal Wins and AI

Coforge Ltd. is recognized by SMIFS as one of the fastest-growing mid-tier IT services companies globally. The firm is experiencing robust momentum in healthcare, high-tech, and travel sectors. Healthcare and high-tech revenues saw a 98% year-on-year increase in FY26, while the travel business grew by 62%. Although banking growth moderated due to client-specific issues, management anticipates a recovery in FY27.

Coforge's order book remains a significant strength, with fresh order intake of $648 million in the March quarter and an executable order book of $1.75 billion at the end of FY26—the highest in its history. The company is well-positioned to benefit from AI-led transformation spending, having completed over 150 AI engagements and strengthening its digital engineering capabilities through recent acquisitions. SMIFS has assigned a 'buy' rating to Coforge, with a target price of Rs 1,950, indicating roughly a 32% upside.

Cyient: Capitalizing on Lifecycle Engineering

For exposure to engineering research and development (ER&D), SMIFS favors Cyient Ltd. The brokerage highlights Cyient's transition from a conventional ER&D player to a lifecycle engineering partner, which could substantially expand its addressable market. Management estimates this opportunity could grow from a traditional $100 billion ER&D outsourcing market to nearly $2 trillion across industries already served by the company.

This transition is expected to create more recurring revenue streams, deepen client relationships, and improve long-term visibility. Despite facing near-term challenges from project delays and investments in its semiconductor engineering business, these investments are seen as strengthening its long-term position in a high-growth segment. Strong deal wins in aerospace, rail, and connectivity also support Cyient's growth outlook. SMIFS maintains a 'buy' rating on Cyient, with a target price of Rs 1,275, suggesting approximately a 44% upside, the highest among its preferred IT picks.

Disclaimer: This article provides stock market news for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers are encouraged to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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