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Reliance Jio IPO Anticipated: YES Securities on Valuations, Growth Ahead of RIL AGM

· · 4 min read

Reliance Industries is expected to file draft papers for a Reliance Jio Platforms IPO. YES Securities values the digital arm at Rs 6.1 lakh crore enterprise value, noting its shift from subscriber acquisition to monetisation-led growth.

Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) is reportedly preparing to launch the initial public offering (IPO) of its digital arm, Reliance Jio Platforms. While the filing of draft papers is anticipated, the IPO has faced delays attributed to concerns over valuations and the issue mix, exacerbated by global geopolitical factors.

Jio's Strategic Shift and Valuation

According to a recent report by YES Securities, Jio Platforms is undergoing a strategic shift. The company is moving away from aggressive subscriber acquisition towards a model focused on monetisation, profitability, and ecosystem-led growth. This evolution follows Jio's consolidation of its leadership in the Indian telecom market and its expansion into a broader digital business beyond core connectivity services.

In its sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) framework, YES Securities estimates Jio Platforms' enterprise value at approximately Rs 6.1 lakh crore. This valuation contributes roughly Rs 450 per Reliance share, highlighting Jio's significant role as one of RIL's most valuable businesses, alongside retail.

Key Metrics for Investors

Ahead of any potential IPO, YES Securities advises investors to closely monitor several key performance indicators. These include Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) growth, the expansion of AirFiber services, monetisation efforts in enterprise and cloud sectors, 5G monetisation strategies, subscriber additions and churn rates, the introduction of AI-led services, and overall margin and cash-flow trends.

The brokerage firm underscores Jio's inherent strengths, such as high margins, low per-user operating costs, and robust cash generation. A separate listing for Jio Platforms would offer investors direct exposure to India's largest telecom and digital platform enterprise.

Anticipation Ahead of RIL's AGM

All eyes are on Reliance Industries' 49th annual general meeting (AGM), scheduled for Friday, June 19. Market experts widely expect Mukesh Ambani, Chairman and Managing Director of RIL, to provide a crucial update on the proposed Reliance Jio IPO during the meeting, which commences at 2 PM.

Jio's Recent Performance and Monetisation Focus

For the fiscal year 2026 (FY26), Jio added approximately 42 million net subscribers, bringing its total base to 524.4 million. The digital services business saw its revenue climb by 14.3% year-on-year to around Rs 1.76 lakh crore, with EBITDA reaching Rs 76,560 crore. The Reliance management is actively preparing Jio for an IPO or separate listing, with a strong emphasis now on achieving monetisation at scale.

While subscriber additions remain healthy, YES Securities highlights Jio's ability to increase earnings from its existing customer base as a primary concern for investors. ARPU notably rose to about Rs 214 per month in Q4FY26, driven by recent tariff hikes, a richer mix of 5G users, and growing postpaid adoption. Jio is also enhancing customer stickiness and boosting revenue per user by bundling mobile services with broadband, entertainment, and other digital offerings.

Drivers of Future Growth

The brokerage identifies several key drivers for Jio's next phase of earnings growth:

  • Further tariff hikes
  • Deeper 5G adoption
  • Expansion of Jio AirFiber
  • Growth in enterprise connectivity
  • Development of AI-led services

Jio AirFiber, the company's fixed wireless business, has rapidly grown to approximately 13 million subscribers, positioning it as the world's largest fixed wireless provider outside China. Additionally, Jio's fixed broadband connections have surpassed 27 million. AirFiber's expansion into smaller towns and underserved markets is creating new revenue streams beyond traditional mobile services, significantly increasing household-level digital consumption. Both broadband and fixed wireless access are poised to become increasingly important contributors to ARPU growth and overall profitability.

Expanding Digital Ecosystem

Jio has meticulously built a comprehensive digital ecosystem that spans entertainment, commerce, cloud services, and enterprise connectivity. Its content platforms, including JioCinema and JioHotstar, attracted around 451 million monthly active users during FY26. JioMart continues to strengthen the company's presence in digital commerce.

Furthermore, Reliance's push into cloud, AI, and digital infrastructure services is supported by initiatives like JioCloud, network services, data centers, and strategic partnerships with global tech giants such as Google and Microsoft.

YES Securities concludes that a standalone listing would provide greater transparency regarding Jio's profitability, growth trajectory, and capital allocation. It would also enable investors to value distinct segments like AirFiber, cloud services, enterprise connectivity, and digital platforms separately, unlocking further value.

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