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Antique Initiates 'Buy' on Clean Max Shares, Projects 31% Upside

· · 3 min read

Antique Stock Broking has initiated coverage on Clean Max Enviro Energy Solutions with a 'Buy' rating, projecting a 31% upside to a target of Rs 1,711. The firm, India's largest commercial and industrial renewable energy provider, is noted for its strong growth fueled by data center demand.

Antique Stock Broking has commenced coverage on Clean Max Enviro Energy Solutions, India's leading commercial and industrial (C&I) renewable energy provider, with a 'Buy' rating. The brokerage firm has set a target price of Rs 1,711, indicating a potential upside of 31% for Clean Max shares.

India's Leading C&I Renewable Provider

Clean Max holds an estimated 12% national market share in the C&I renewable energy sector. By the end of FY26, the company boasted an operational power sales capacity of 3.1 GW and a contracted portfolio of 5.7 GW. It directly supplies firm-priced green power to 588 corporate clients through 23-year bilateral contracts, offering a 30-45% discount compared to grid tariffs.

Antique highlights Clean Max's relationship-driven business model, which distinguishes it from peers reliant on competitive utility auctions. A significant 74% of new capacity is sourced from repeat customers, and over 95% of its book is rated 'A-' or better, with no contract renegotiations against the company since its inception.

Surge in Data Center and AI Demand

A notable shift in Clean Max's order book is the rapid increase in demand from data center and AI customers. This segment now accounts for 42% (2.4 GW) of the company's contracted portfolio, a substantial rise in just two years. This positions Clean Max at the forefront of India's hyperscaler build-out.

  • Global Tech Giants: Approximately 1.87 GW supports global emission-offset deals for major tech companies like Meta, Google, Amazon, and Apple.
  • India-Based Data Centers: An additional 0.51 GW supplies Indian data centers, including Cisco, Equinix, STT, and NTT.

Clean Max is estimated to hold a 35-38% share of India's hyperscaler energy deals. Two-thirds of these contracts are structured as 25-year contracts for difference, ensuring fixed tariffs and eliminating merchant-price exposure. With India's domestic data center pipeline exceeding 15 GW, each gigawatt of IT load implying roughly 6 GW of renewables plus storage, this represents a long-duration, investment-grade demand pool concentrated in Clean Max's strongest operational states.

Financial Projections and Growth

Antique expects Clean Max's operational capacity to scale 2.5 times, reaching 7.8 GW by FY29. The brokerage projects a 48% revenue CAGR and a 63% EBITDA CAGR for Clean Max over FY26-FY28E, as its under-execution book commissions. Consolidated EBITDA margin is anticipated to widen from 59% to 71%, with Profit After Tax (PAT) reaching Rs 350 crore by FY28E.

The company operates a capital-light model, supported by group-captive structures and co-investors such as Apple, Osaka Gas, and Toyota Tsusho. This enables stabilized projects to generate a 34% cash Return on Equity (RoE). While net debt is projected to increase to Rs 21,900 crore by FY28E to fund growth, the equity requirement is covered by operating cash flow, customer co-investment, and IPO proceeds without dilution, maintaining a run-rate net debt/EBITDA near 5 times.

Disclaimer: This article provides stock market news for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers are encouraged to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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