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Welspun Corp Shares Climb After Strong Q1 Results; Analysts Set New Price Targets

· · 3 min read

Welspun Corp's shares rose after reporting better-than-expected Q1 EBITDA, driven by stronger blended realizations. Several brokerages, including Investec and JM Financial, have issued new 'Buy' ratings and increased target prices for the pipe solutions provider.

Shares of Welspun Corp Ltd, a leading provider of pipe solutions, saw a gain of over 2 percent in Tuesday's trading, reaching a high of Rs 1,633.85. This surge followed the company's announcement of robust first-quarter results, which surpassed market expectations primarily due to stronger blended realisations contributing to a better-than-anticipated EBITDA.

Brokerages Highlight Strong Fundamentals and Growth Prospects

Several financial brokerages have reiterated their positive outlook on Welspun Corp. JM Financial expressed continued confidence, citing the company's substantial order book, disciplined capital allocation strategy, healthy balance sheet, and clear medium-term earnings visibility. Similarly, Nuvama has significantly increased its Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates for Welspun by 18-33 percent for the fiscal years FY27-FY29, noting that the company's order book now extends into FY29, promising its strongest-ever profitability.

Equirus Securities also revised its EBITDA estimates upwards, attributing this to the sustained demand buoyancy in the United States market, planned new facilities in key regions, and a strategic pivot towards increasing exports from India. These factors are expected to bolster Welspun's business visibility in the mid to long term.

Operational Performance and Strategic Focus

Welspun's Q1 consolidated revenues demonstrated a healthy 15 percent year-over-year growth, exceeding Equirus's projections. The company reported a 6 percent year-over-year increase in overall line pipe volumes across both India and the US. While domestic line pipe demand remained somewhat subdued, the US Line Pipes business maintained its strong performance trajectory. Demand from the US market is particularly strong, accounting for two-thirds of the company's current order book, driven by US Oil & Gas exports (75 percent) and increasing infrastructure needs for data centers (25 percent). Nuvama highlighted that Welspun's US plant is fully booked until FY28.

Management also indicated that anti-dumping investigations in Saudi Arabia are anticipated to support the upcoming operations of its KSA DI pipe facility. The company remains committed to its disciplined capital allocation framework, focusing future investments on established products and geographies.

Financial Health and Analyst Targets

As of Q1FY27, Welspun Corp showcased strong financial health, generating a Return on Capital Employed (RoCE) of 23.1 percent and maintaining a net cash position of Rs 830 crore. Capital expenditure for both Saudi and US plants continues to progress as planned.

Following the Q1 results, multiple analysts have set new target prices for Welspun Corp shares:

  • Investec (Parth Bhavsar): 'Buy' rating with a target price of Rs 1,925.
  • JM Financial (Ashutosh Somani): Target price of Rs 1,930.
  • 360 ONE Capital (Sailesh Raja): The highest target, set at Rs 2,233.
  • Systematix (Shweta Dikshit): 'Hold' rating with a target price of Rs 1,794.
  • Equirus (Pravav Mehta): Target price of Rs 1,967.

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