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RBI to Sell ₹25,000 Crore in Bonds on Oct 13; Yields Expected to Rise

· · 3 min read

The Reserve Bank of India announced an open market operation (OMO) to sell ₹25,000 crore in government securities on October 13. This move aims to absorb surplus banking system liquidity, with analysts expecting bond yields to open 4-5 basis points higher.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on October 9 announced an upcoming open market operation (OMO) involving the sale of government securities worth ₹25,000 crore. This auction, scheduled for October 13, is part of the central bank's ongoing strategy to absorb excess liquidity from the banking system.

Market participants anticipate that bond yields will open approximately 4-5 basis points higher on Monday following this announcement. The RBI's consistent efforts to manage liquidity conditions through various monetary measures, including securities sales, are expected to influence market sentiment.

Understanding the OMO and its Impact

Under the OMO mechanism, the RBI sells government securities to market participants, thereby withdrawing funds from the banking system. This action helps to manage surplus liquidity, which has partly arisen from foreign exchange market interventions and the unwinding of foreign currency non-resident (FCNR-B) deposit mobilization measures.

The auction on October 13 will be conducted using a multiple-price method. The securities on offer include government bonds maturing in 2030, 2031, 2032, 2033, and 2034, carrying coupon rates of 7.88%, 7.95%, 7.26%, 7.18%, and 7.10% respectively. The RBI has indicated flexibility, stating it may accept bids for amounts less than or more than the notified ₹25,000 crore.

Previous Liquidity Management Efforts

This latest OMO follows a series of similar sales undertaken by the RBI. In September, the central bank conducted an OMO sale program worth ₹1 lakh crore, executed across three tranches. Specifically, ₹50,000 crore was offered on September 17, with an additional ₹25,000 crore each on September 21 and September 28.

These previous auctions saw significant demand, with banks submitting bids that exceeded the notified amounts. Total bids reached ₹66,590 crore in the first tranche, ₹84,982 crore in the second, and ₹67,655 crore in the third, underscoring the market's appetite for these securities.

Broader Liquidity Measures

Beyond OMOs, the RBI employs other tools to manage liquidity. This includes variable rate reverse repo (VRRR) auctions. On October 7, Governor Sanjay Malhotra noted expectations for liquidity surpluses to ease naturally during the current financial year. The average daily surplus under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) has been ₹5.9 lakh crore since the August monetary policy meeting, with the banking system’s liquidity surplus standing at ₹3.92 lakh crore recently.

In a separate but related move, the RBI has also increased the minimum daily cash reserve ratio (CRR) maintenance requirement for banks. Effective from the fortnight beginning October 16, banks must now maintain 99% of the prescribed CRR requirement daily, up from 90%. While the overall CRR rate remains unchanged, this adjustment, combined with OMO sales, is expected to further tighten liquidity conditions. The ultimate impact on bond yields will depend on how banks and investors adapt to this additional liquidity drain.

The RBI's continued focus on absorbing surplus funds aligns with its broader monetary policy objectives, ensuring stable money-market conditions.

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