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Morgan Stanley Lifts Polycab India Price Target Past ₹10,000 on Strong Growth Outlook

· · 2 min read

Morgan Stanley has raised Polycab India's price target to ₹10,545, citing a forecasted 20% earnings CAGR through FY29 and robust Q1 performance. This upgrade reflects the firm's strong position in the cables and wires industry.

Global brokerage firm Morgan Stanley has significantly upgraded its price target for Polycab India Ltd. shares, pushing it past the ₹10,000 mark. The new target of ₹10,545 comes with a continued 'overweight' rating, driven by a positive outlook on the company's earnings growth and its dominant position in the cables and wires sector.

Analyst Upgrade and Market Outlook

The revised price target of ₹10,545 represents a substantial increase from Morgan Stanley's previous target of ₹8,707, indicating a 21% hike. This new target implies a potential 13.5% upside from Polycab India's last closing price of ₹9,289.

Morgan Stanley highlighted Polycab's robust competitive standing, asserting it possesses the strongest cables and wires (C&W) franchise in India. Analysts anticipate an improving trend in both domestic volumes and export performance. While the consumer-facing Fast-Moving Electrical Goods (FMEG) business has shown promising delivery, the brokerage noted it requires ongoing monitoring, acknowledging its historical inconsistency.

A key factor underpinning the upgrade is Morgan Stanley's forecast of a 20% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in earnings for Polycab India over the financial years 2026 to 2029.

Robust Q1 Financial Performance

Polycab India reported a strong financial performance for the first quarter ending June 30, 2026. The company's consolidated revenue from operations surged by 39% year-on-year, reaching ₹8,209.73 crore, compared to ₹5,905.98 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal year. However, revenue saw a sequential decline of 7.39% from the March quarter.

Total income for Q1 FY27 also increased significantly, rising 38.90% year-on-year to ₹8,314.65 crore. Consolidated profit after tax (PAT) climbed 32.85% year-on-year to ₹796.65 crore, up from ₹599.70 crore in Q1 FY26. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, PAT experienced a marginal increase of 1.41%.

The company's diluted earnings per share (EPS) also reflected this strong growth, improving to ₹51.94 from ₹39.21 in the year-ago quarter, underscoring Polycab India's solid earnings trajectory.

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