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MOFSL Sets Double-Digit Targets for Polycab, Hero Moto, Tata Steel, SRF; Rates PB Fintech Neutral

· · 5 min read

Domestic brokerage MOFSL has issued fresh reports and target prices for several key stocks, projecting double-digit returns for Polycab India, Hero MotoCorp, Tata Steel, SRF, and CONCOR. PB Fintech and Alkyl Amines receive 'Neutral' ratings.

Domestic brokerage Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL) recently released individual research reports on a selection of prominent Indian stocks, offering target prices and ratings for investors. The analysis covers PB Fintech Ltd, Polycab India Ltd, Tata Steel Ltd, Container Corporation of India (CONCOR), SRF Ltd, Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd, and Hero MotoCorp Ltd.

MOFSL has assigned 'Buy' ratings to most of these stocks, with the notable exceptions of Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd and PB Fintech Ltd, which both received 'Neutral' ratings. The brokerage forecasts double-digit returns for all 'Buy' rated stocks, while Alkyl Amines Chemicals faces a potential 2 percent downside.

Polycab India: Strong Demand Outlook

MOFSL maintains a 'Buy' rating for Polycab India, setting a target price of Rs 9,800, which suggests a 16 percent upside. The brokerage noted Polycab's Q4 operating performance exceeded expectations, driven by strong revenue and margins in its FMEG (Fast-Moving Electrical Goods) segment. Despite short-term external challenges, MOFSL anticipates robust demand for Polycab over the next 2-3 years, supported by proactive capital expenditure that mitigates capacity constraints and positions the company for sustained growth.

MOFSL's Outlook on Polycab

The brokerage projects a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 19 percent for Polycab's revenue and EBITDA, and 18 percent for PAT (Profit After Tax) between FY26-28. Operating profit margins are expected to stabilize around 13.5-14 percent in FY27/28.

Hero MotoCorp: Benefiting from Rural Recovery

Hero MotoCorp also received a 'Buy' rating from MOFSL, with a target price of Rs 6,248, indicating a 21 percent upside. The company's Q4 profit aligned with estimates, and margins remained stable year-on-year despite the expansion of its Electric Vehicle (EV) business. MOFSL expects Hero MotoCorp to benefit significantly from a gradual rural economic recovery, leveraging its strong brand presence in the economy and executive segments.

Rural Recovery and EV Growth

MOFSL highlights Hero MotoCorp's strategic focus on expanding its scooter presence (both ICE and EV) and boosting exports as key drivers for volume growth. The brokerage forecasts an 8 percent volume CAGR for Hero MotoCorp over FY26-28, spurred by new product launches and increased exports.

SRF Ltd: Diversification and Growth Momentum

SRF's Q4 operating performance surpassed MOFSL's estimates, leading to a 'Buy' rating and a target price of Rs 3,400, implying a 25 percent upside. MOFSL believes SRF's diversified business portfolio and robust capital expenditure pipeline will enable continued growth despite global market volatility.

Chemical Business Momentum

Growth in FY27 is expected to be propelled by refrigerant gases, a recovery in specialty chemicals, and increasing traction in fluoropolymers. The PFF (Packaging Films Business) and technical textiles segments are also anticipated to experience a gradual cyclical recovery. The chemicals business, encompassing fluorochemicals and specialty chemicals, is set to maintain its growth momentum through the ramp-up of new plants, product launches, a strong R&D pipeline, stable international demand for refrigerant gases, and expanding margins.

PB Fintech: Strong Growth, Neutral Rating

PB Fintech, the parent company of Policybazaar, received a 'Neutral' rating from MOFSL, with a target price of Rs 1,870, suggesting a 10 percent upside. The brokerage acknowledged PB Fintech's strong volume growth in 4QFY26, exceeding its 30 percent guidance, primarily driven by a GST exemption-led boost in term and health insurance. Operational efficiency and productivity improvements have contributed to robust profitability.

Risks and Opportunities

MOFSL recognizes PB Fintech's strong position in India's under-penetrated financial services sectors (credit and insurance) and the embedded optionality from new initiatives offering long-term convexity. The brokerage projects a 28 percent revenue growth, 73 percent EBITDA growth, and 40 percent profit growth (CAGR) for PB Fintech over FY26-28. However, potential risks such as commission caps on take rates remain a key monitorable.

Tata Steel: India Business Strong, Europe Challenges

Tata Steel secured a 'Buy' rating from MOFSL, with a target price of Rs 250, indicating a 16 percent upside. MOFSL expects Tata Steel's India operations to continue their strong performance, supported by improved pricing. In Europe, near-term profitability will depend on spread recovery and energy costs, while structural measures like CBAM (Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism) and tighter import quotas are expected to gradually enhance pricing discipline and reduce import-led margin pressures.

Domestic Demand and Price Support

As one of India's largest steel producers, Tata Steel benefits from a constructive domestic demand outlook and safeguard duty-led price support. MOFSL maintains its positive stance, valuing the stock at 7 times FY28E EV/EBITDA and 2 times FY28E P/B.

Container Corporation of India (CONCOR): Logistics Expansion and Efficiency

CONCOR received a 'Buy' rating from MOFSL, with a target price of Rs 600, suggesting a 14 percent upside. The brokerage highlighted CONCOR's efforts to strengthen its logistics ecosystem through expanded double-stack rail operations, shipping in the Middle East, efficient utilization of the Dedicated Freight Corridor (DFC), and an advanced integrated logistics network.

DFC and Multimodal Connectivity

CONCOR remains focused on scaling up its rail freight services and infrastructure, supported by increased capital expenditure for new terminal commissioning, fleet augmentation, and enhanced multimodal connectivity. MOFSL is optimistic about improved rail coefficient and operational efficiencies driven by double-stack movement and network expansion, particularly with the commissioning of the Western Dedicated Freight Corridor (WDFC).

Alkyl Amines Chemicals: Headwinds and Future Products

Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd received a 'Neutral' rating from MOFSL, with a target price of Rs 1,720, implying a 2 percent downside. MOFSL anticipates short-term headwinds due to microenvironmental uncertainty and significant tensions in the Middle East impacting raw material prices.

Microenvironment Uncertainty

Despite these challenges, future growth for Alkyl Amines Chemicals is expected from the planned commercialization of a new product at its Kurkumbh facility in 2QFY27 and additional products in its R&D pipeline. The company is also poised to benefit from anti-dumping duties on acetonitrile, improved capacity utilization, and rising demand from the pharmaceutical sector.

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