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Bajaj Auto Buyback Opens July 1: Should Retail Investors Tender Shares?

· · 2 min read

Bajaj Auto's share buyback program launches on July 1, offering Rs 12,000 per share, a 23% premium over current market prices. Analysts advise retail investors to consider participating, though acceptance rates are estimated to be limited.

Pune-headquartered Bajaj Auto Ltd. is set to commence its share buyback program on July 1, with the tendering process remaining open for five working days until July 7. The company proposes to repurchase shares at Rs 12,000 each, presenting a significant premium of approximately 23 percent over the prevailing market price of around Rs 9,770.

Retail Investor Participation and Acceptance Ratios

For retail investors, participation in the buyback is capped at a value of Rs 2,00,000, which translates to a maximum of 16 shares at the offer price. Brokerage firm Choice Broking estimates the acceptance ratio in the retail category to be around 10.97 percent, suggesting that out of every 16 shares tendered, roughly 1 to 2 shares are likely to be accepted by the company.

Saurabh Jain, Head of Fundamental Research at SMC Global Securities, acknowledged the buyback as an attractive exit opportunity for shareholders whose shares are accepted. However, he noted that the overall buyback size is relatively small, with Bajaj Auto proposing to repurchase only 46.94 lakh shares, representing 1.68 percent of its outstanding equity capital. This implies that potential gains, while present, may be moderate rather than exceptional.

Although 15 percent of the buyback is reserved for retail shareholders, the retail shareholder base significantly outnumbers this quota. Based on current shareholding patterns, the theoretical entitlement ratio is estimated to be between 4.5 to 5 percent. While actual acceptance ratios could be higher depending on participation levels, investors should temper expectations compared to exceptionally high acceptance rates seen in some past buybacks.

Advice for Shareholders

Brokerages generally recommend that investors holding Bajaj Auto shares consider participating in the buyback through their respective brokers before the tender window closes. This move is seen as a clear short-term value unlocking opportunity given the substantial premium offered. The record date for identifying eligible shareholders for the issue was June 24, 2026, with the stock having already turned ex-date.

Recent Stock Performance and Cyber Incident

Bajaj Auto shares recently experienced a dip, falling 2.46 percent, following the company's disclosure of a cyber security incident. The incident involved a ransomware attack that impacted the systems of Bajaj Auto Limited and its wholly owned subsidiary, Bajaj Auto Technology. Despite this, the buyback offers a strategic opportunity for existing shareholders.

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