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Jio Financial Shares Could See 29% Upside Post Q4 Results, Says MOFSL

· · 2 min read

Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL) has reiterated its 'Buy' rating for Jio Financial Services (JFS) shares, projecting a 29% upside potential to a target price of Rs 315. This outlook follows JFS's Q4 results, which saw a 13.88% drop in net profit to Rs 272.22 crore, though its NBFC AUM surpassed Rs 25,000 crore.

Mumbai, India – Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL) has maintained its 'Buy' rating on Jio Financial Services Ltd (JFS) shares, setting a target price of Rs 315. This projection suggests a potential 29% upside from current levels, despite the company reporting a mixed set of results for the March quarter of 2026.

Q4 Performance and Key Drivers

Jio Financial Services announced a 13.88% year-on-year drop in its net profit, settling at Rs 272.22 crore for the fourth quarter. The company's board has also recommended a dividend of Re 0.60 per equity share with a face value of Rs 10 each for the financial year ending March 31, 2026.

MOFSL's analysis highlighted the robust scaling of JFS's non-banking financial company (NBFC) segment, with its assets under management (AUM) exceeding Rs 25,000 crore. However, other business segments demonstrated slower traction. The brokerage noted that overall profitability was impacted by ongoing investments in new ventures and volatility in the macro environment affecting the treasury book.

Long-Term Growth Outlook

Despite the short-term impacts, MOFSL sees a compelling long-term growth trajectory for JFS, underpinned by its expansive financial services platform. The firm believes that the current valuations do not fully capture the significant scale opportunities across lending, asset management, insurance, and digital financial services as these businesses mature from incubation to profitability.

MOFSL estimates a consolidated Profit After Tax (PAT) growth of 50% compounded annually over FY26-FY28. The target price of Rs 315 does not yet factor in potential valuations from nascent businesses such as insurance manufacturing, wealth management, broking, and marketplace operations.

Upcoming Business Pillars

The management indicated that the broking segment, while not yet fully operational at scale, is poised to become a crucial pillar within JFS's investment ecosystem. MOFSL views broking as a high-engagement product that will enhance user stickiness and create cross-selling opportunities for other financial products, including lending, asset management, and derivatives.

JFS shares have experienced a 17% decline in 2026 year-to-date and have remained flat over the past year. The MOFSL 'Buy' rating signals confidence in the company's strategic direction and its potential to unlock value from its diverse financial offerings.

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